In the high-stakes arena of political showdowns, where words are weapons and interviews are battlegrounds, Vice President Kamala Harris was embroiled in a subtle but significant duel this past Thursday evening. The stage was set on CNN, with Dana Bash holding the mic, and the audience tuned in, eager to hear from the woman who could be the next leader of the free world. The questions were unscripted, and the stakes were sky-high.
As the dust settled on this verbal sparring match, one might have expected the usual post-game commentary—analyzing every word, every pause, every fleeting expression. But behind the scenes, in a realm where numbers speak louder than pundits, the betting markets were crunching the cold, hard probabilities. They had watched the interview, too, and their judgment was swift. Overnight, a seismic shift occurred—not in the hearts of voters, but in the odds that the bookies were willing to offer.
From Breitbart:
The cold, hard world of betting markets framing the outcome of the 2024 presidential election were singularly unimpressed by the showing of Kamala Harris during her CNN interview on Thursday evening…The vice president went from being the favorite to win with odds of 10/11 (52.4 percent) on Thursday to tied with Donald Trump on 19/20 (51.3 percent) each on Friday morning, according to the Star Sports betting company.
Star Sports, a prominent player in the betting world, had been quite bullish on Harris before her CNN sit-down. Just before the interview, she was the clear favorite to win the 2024 presidential election, with odds of 10/11—meaning a 52.4 percent chance of victory. But by Friday morning, those odds had taken a nosedive, leaving Harris tied with none other than Donald Trump. What are the new odds? A dead heat at 19/20, or 51.3 percent each.
Over at Betfair, another major bookmaker, Trump’s odds of clinching victory in November saw a quiet but notable improvement. Before Harris took to the airwaves, Trump was lagging slightly behind at 21/20 (48.8 percent). But as the sun rose the next day, his chances had inched forward to 20/21 (51.2 percent).
The betting markets, it seemed, had delivered a verdict on Harris’s performance, and it wasn’t exactly a ringing endorsement. William Kedjanyi, a betting analyst at Star Sports, noted the slight but telling shift. “Vice President Harris is now tied at 19/20 with Republican candidate Donald Trump, drifting slightly from 10/11 yesterday. The Californian had been 5/6 recently, but she has failed to surge ahead of Trump in the market,” Kedjanyi explained, with the kind of detached analysis that only a numbers man could muster.
Outside the world of betting, top pollsters are starting to see the light. Harris enjoyed a manufactured honeymoon thanks to the liberal media. But now that she failed to provide a consistent policy platform—and has avoided real media scrutiny—it appears the shine is off the apple.
From The Post Millennial:
Donald Trump is now favored to win the 2024 election according to well-known pollster Nate Silver. As of August 29, Trump is leading in his forecast with a chance of 52.4 percent versus Vice President Kamala Harris’ projected 47.3 percent chance of victory in November.
#Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (chance of winning)
August 14
🟦 Harris: 56.7%
🟥 Trump: 42.7%
.
August 29
🟥 Trump: 52.4%
🟦 Harris: 47.3%
——
Swing States: chance of winningPennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Nevada – 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Arizona – 🔴 Trump 60-40%
Georgia – 🔴 Trump… https://t.co/sYNPuTSk3q pic.twitter.com/RX8BHgcu0U— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 29, 2024
According to Nate Silver, Trump is now pulling ahead of Harris. In national polls, he is winning with 52.4% over Harris’s 47.3%. Silver is also forecasting Trump to win in crucial swing states Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. It seems Harris’ “lead” was just a fantasy created by Democrats in the media to distract from the fact that they propped up an ill president, only to swap him out for an unelected candidate.
Key Takeaways:
- Kamala Harris’s CNN interview caused a shift in betting odds, placing her in a tight race with Donald Trump for the 2024 election.
- Following the interview, Trump gained momentum in the betting markets, becoming slightly favored by Star Sports and Betfair.
- Pollster Nate Silver revealed Trump is leading Harris 52.4 to 47.3.
Source: Breitbart, The Post Millennial
